Asteroid (currently) estimated to have 1-in-48 chance of hitting Earth in 2032

As at 8 February 2025, the latest estimate for asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 was 2.1% (a 1-in 48 chance).

On the plus side, that also means a 97.9% chance of it missing.

This is all according to the Center for Near-Earth Objects Studies (CNEOS) Sentry, whose analysis is "based on 347 observations spanning 45.627 days".

More information (if you dare):

Space.com - Odds of an asteroid impact in 2032 just went up. Here's why experts say you shouldn't worry

CNEOS Sentry

Next up on my viewing list: Armageddon (1998), starring Bruce Willis. :)

Parents
  • Let's some folks use that knowledge to prevent potential catastrophe.  In regards to a recent comment I find people like "professor" Brian Cox condescending and insufferable.  As if there weren't enough doom and gloom shizz.  If there were such an event in the books let it come quickly and with the least suffering.

Reply
  • Let's some folks use that knowledge to prevent potential catastrophe.  In regards to a recent comment I find people like "professor" Brian Cox condescending and insufferable.  As if there weren't enough doom and gloom shizz.  If there were such an event in the books let it come quickly and with the least suffering.

Children